Monday, October 27, 2008

Najib’s task..


Najib as the new Finance Minister should be more forthcoming on our economy and how the Government proposes to insulate us against the tidal wave of economic bad news. the Malaysian economy is an open one and we need to take immediate remedial measures. The recent move to cut the helicopter deal does not fall into the category of fiscal action that will help. It merely postpones the development/capital expenditure to a later date!

This points out that commecial paper creation and trading, the life blood of trade and commerce, is shrinking. The same is true for bonds and other forms of credit creation. Our interest rates, though low enough, may need to be adjusted down as has happened with nearly all our neighbours.

Given the current situation where the private sector is not going to take the initiative, and with banks not giving the full credit support that the private sector needs to operate optimally, that leaves only fiscal policy measures to safeguard and insulate our economy.

All unnecessary expenditure must be immediately put on the backburner while the Govt embarks on direct pump priming that will not only have immediate impact but will result in longer term value adding to growth. This means public works and infrastructure.

Agriculture, especially food production, needs to be prioritised; SMEs need further tax incentives while the services sector also needs to be pushed. Fiscal policy measures do not just mean tax measures. I am sure the FM knows the range of tools under his direct control. That means he should not wait until next year to review the budget that was just revealed in Parliament. That Budget was premised on conditions that do not exist any more and are unlikely to return.

Boosting the stock market may be confidence building but it would be of more value if the brokers margin call are mitigated with bank support so that the market freefall can he slowed down. Secondly, revenues were premised on prices of commodities before the financial and economic breakdown of the West. We have to adjust our cloth to fit the new cut.

Monetary policy measures including direct intervention by BNM, like the Fed Reserve in new credit creation, may be necessary if the banks are afraid to lend money. as mentioned earlier, institutional investors are not accepting or renewing commercial paper take up nor bond issues. Banks may be holding back on loan drawdowns. BNM need to monitor this and ensure the economy's lifeblood, that is credit, does not suffer from blockage or seizure.

Sunday, October 5, 2008

Capital Flight: Anwar silap


Anwar menyangka dapat menjatuhkan kredibiliti ekonomi negara semasa mengambil bahagian pada satu forum di Hong Kong baru-baru ini.

Fakta yang dikemukakannya salah kerana pengaliran FDI dari Malaysia sebenarnya bukan boleh diertikan sebagai 'capital flight.' Ia adalah pengaliran keluar dana oleh syarikat-syarikat transnasional kepunyaan Malaysia sendiri secara terancang.

Ini membuktikan aliran keluar (82% atau A$10bil) dan masuk sebenarnya positif walaupun pengaliran keluar mengatasi pengaliran masuk.

Jika Anwar ingin menyerang kerajaan, dia sepatutnya mengingatkan dirinya dahulu bahawa dialah penyebab utama ketidaktentuan politik yang menyumbang kepada pengurangan pelaburan dari luar pada waktu ini. Malah diketahui Anwar telah mengadakan beberapa perjumpaan dengan para Pengurus Dana bagi memujuk mereka agar tidak melabur di Malaysia.

Ini jelas satu pengkhianatan nyata, semata mata kerana dia terlalu gilakan jawatan PERDANA MENTERI.

Friday, October 3, 2008

Puteri: Akar Umno perlu diberi penjelasan peralihan kuasa

Penjelasan mengenai peralihan pucuk pimpinan Umno perlu diberi kepada semua peringkat parti khususnya akar umbi kerana kebanyakkan mereka masih kabur mengenai keadaan sebenar perkara tersebut.

Ketua Puteri Umno, Datuk Noraini Ahmad berkata sayap itu menyambut baik kenyataan Perdana Menteri dan Presiden Umno Datuk Seri Abdullah Ahmad Badawi semalam bahawa beliau akan bertemu semua pemimpin komponen parti Barisan Nasional (BN) untuk menjelaskan peralihan kuasa antara beliau dan Timbalan Perdana Menteri dan Timbalan Presiden Umno Datuk Seri Najib Tun Razak supaya tidak timbul sebarang kekeliruan atau salah faham.

Noraini berkata, anggota parti peringkat akar umbi hanya mendengar tentang peralihan pucuk kepimpinan Umno melalui media elektronik dan cetak.

"Kita tidak mahu akar umbi tidak jelas mengenai keadaan sebenar sehingga membuka ruang kepada pihak luar untuk mengambil kesempatan mencetuskan pelbagai spekulasi dan rumusan negatif mengenai apa yang berlaku dalam Umno," tegas beliau dalam kenyataan akhbar hari ini.

Beliau mencadangkan agar majlis penerangan di semua peringkat dilakukan selepas Hari Raya Aidilfitri bagi menangkis tanggapan berlaku krisis dan perpecahan dalam parti dan seterusnya menyumbang ke arah melicinkan lagi proses peralihan kuasa dalam parti.

Pada 26 September lalu, Abdullah mengumumkan keputusan Majlis Tertinggi (MT) Umno bahawa Perhimpunan Agung parti, yang pada asalnya dijadualkan pada 16 Disember, ditunda Mac depan untuk melicinkan proses peralihan kuasa yang lebih awal.

Noraini juga menjelaskan walaupun keputusan MT, parti perlu dihormati oleh semua pihak, tetapi hak anggota untuk mendapatkan penerangan sejelas mungkin mengenai perkembangan terkini dalam parti termasuk proses peralihan kuasa tidak harus diketepikan.

Beliau berkata, Puteri Umno bersedia turun padang untuk memberi penerangan tentang perkembangan terkini dalam parti demi menjamin perpaduan dan keutuhan parti.

-BERNAMA-